Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Paul 53.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 71.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 54.2%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 50.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Stephenson
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stephenson
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
53.8% (753)
+3.9%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
58.9% (90)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
47.4% (78)
+0.1%
On power play, Stephenson has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Stephenson shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Paul
Home
56.2% (589)
54.2% (450)
Away
60.0% (573)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Stephenson
Paul
P1
58.3%
58.2%
P2
58.3%
50.6%
P3
57.9%
52.9%
OT
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
46.0%▼
54.0%
58.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 05:37 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |