Chandler Stephenson vs Nico Sturm
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Sturm 55.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 91.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 63.4%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 67.0%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Stephenson
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Stephenson
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
56.1% (716)
+1.6%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
67.7% (31)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
51.1% (133)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Stephenson shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Sturm
Home
56.2% (589)
55.6% (412)
Away
60.0% (573)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Stephenson
Sturm
P1
58.3%
59.6%
P2
58.3%
52.0%
P3
57.9%
55.5%
OT
54.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |