Chandler Stephenson vs Nico Sturm
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Sturm 56.1% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 66.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 85.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 67.7%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Stephenson
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Stephenson
Sturm
Last 10: Stephenson 5-5 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
12
3
Stephenson
Sturm
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
4
Stephenson
Sturm
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
4
Stephenson
Sturm
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
57.1% (2,719)
-5.2%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
61.3% (62)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
51.0% (498)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,023).
Stephenson shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Sturm
Home
52.6% (3,827)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Stephenson
Sturm
P1
51.6%
56.5%
P2
52.4%
54.9%
P3
52.8%
57.4%
OT
57.7%
60.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 06:49 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 01:43 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |