Chandler Stephenson vs Nico Sturm
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Sturm 59.0% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 74.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 67.9%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 53.3%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Stephenson
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Stephenson
Sturm
Last 9: Stephenson 4-5 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
1
Stephenson
Sturm
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
2
Stephenson
Sturm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Stephenson
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
60.6% (708)
-9.0%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
61.1% (18)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
56.4% (101)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Stephenson shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Sturm
Home
52.5% (499)
61.6% (451)
Away
52.6% (551)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Stephenson
Sturm
P1
50.2%
55.9%
P2
55.7%
58.9%
P3
50.9%
64.6%
OT
63.6%
70.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 01:43 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |