Chandler Stephenson vs Nico Sturm
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Sturm 57.1% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 72.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 54.5%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 56.1%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Stephenson
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stephenson
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Stephenson
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
62.1% (356)
-10.9%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
75.0% (4)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
38.7% (62)
+9.0%
On power play, Sturm has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Stephenson shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Sturm
Home
52.2% (751)
61.8% (191)
Away
51.0% (723)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Stephenson
Sturm
P1
50.4%
58.0%
P2
51.5%
57.9%
P3
53.3%
60.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
46.0%▼
54.0%
51.6%
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |