Chandler Stephenson vs Noah Cates
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stephenson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Cates 40.4% (+18.6%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 97.3%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 78.6%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 93.7%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 92.7%
92.7%
7.3%
Stephenson
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Stephenson
Cates
Last 10: Stephenson 7-3 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
5
0
Stephenson
Cates
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
2
Stephenson
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
4
1
Stephenson
Cates
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
40.4% (841)
+17.3%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
42.4% (66)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
32.7% (147)
+14.8%
On power play, Stephenson has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Stephenson shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Cates
Home
56.2% (589)
38.2% (566)
Away
60.0% (573)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Stephenson
Cates
P1
58.3%
40.5%
P2
58.3%
42.4%
P3
57.9%
35.3%
OT
54.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.7%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:32 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:34 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |