Chandler Stephenson vs Noah Cates
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Cates 43.2% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 22-18 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 83.8%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 66.3%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 66.2%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Stephenson
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
18
(40 meetings)
22
18
Stephenson
Cates
Last 10: Stephenson 5-5 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
11
6
Stephenson
Cates
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
4
6
Stephenson
Cates
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
7
6
Stephenson
Cates
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
44.1% (2,742)
+7.8%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
43.0% (242)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
34.9% (373)
+10.8%
On power play, Stephenson has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,023).
Stephenson shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,284).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Cates
Home
52.6% (3,827)
43.8% (1,663)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
42.1% (1,694)
By Period
Stephenson
Cates
P1
51.6%
44.5%
P2
52.4%
43.5%
P3
52.8%
41.2%
OT
57.7%
29.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:33 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:30 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:26 | Offensive | Noah Cates |