Chandler Stephenson vs Noah Cates
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cates on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Cates 45.8% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 61.5%
Defensive zone
Cates 66.6%
Neutral zone
Cates 66.1%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Stephenson
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Stephenson
Cates
Last 8: Stephenson 3-5 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
1
Stephenson
Cates
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Stephenson
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
0
3
Stephenson
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
44.3% (271)
+7.3%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
77.8% (18)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
31.7% (41)
+12.6%
On power play, Cates has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Stephenson shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Cates
Home
52.5% (499)
52.0% (148)
Away
52.6% (551)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Stephenson
Cates
P1
50.2%
42.7%
P2
55.7%
42.9%
P3
50.9%
48.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:15 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Noah Cates |