Chandler Stephenson vs Noah Cates
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Cates 45.1% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 80.1%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 64.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 66.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Stephenson
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Stephenson
Cates
Last 10: Stephenson 6-4 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
2
3
Stephenson
Cates
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stephenson
Cates
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
46.7% (912)
+4.5%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
33.9% (56)
+23.9%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
35.0% (137)
+12.7%
On power play, Stephenson has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Stephenson shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Cates
Home
52.2% (751)
46.1% (521)
Away
51.0% (723)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Stephenson
Cates
P1
50.4%
48.0%
P2
51.5%
42.3%
P3
53.3%
44.3%
OT
40.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:26 | Offensive | Noah Cates |