Chandler Stephenson vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Buchnevich 42.1% (+14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 64.2%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 94.0%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 82.8%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Buchnevich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
37.7% (154)
+14.4%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
42.9% (14)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
30.0% (10)
+9.9%
On power play, Stephenson has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Stephenson shoots left. Buchnevich is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Home
53.1% (672)
37.4% (91)
Away
51.1% (554)
37.9% (87)
By Period
Stephenson
Buchnevich
P1
54.6%
38.9%
P2
51.3%
31.5%
P3
51.2%
42.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:38 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |