Chandler Stephenson vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +18.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Buchnevich 35.4% (+18.5%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 94.8%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 97.9%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 96.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 96.1%
96.1%
3.9%
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Last 10: Stephenson 8-2 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
2
Stephenson
Buchnevich
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
Buchnevich
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
Buchnevich
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
33.7% (895)
+18.2%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
44.2% (52)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
24.3% (37)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,023).
Stephenson shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.8% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Home
52.6% (3,827)
34.7% (490)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
33.2% (494)
By Period
Stephenson
Buchnevich
P1
51.6%
34.4%
P2
52.4%
33.7%
P3
52.8%
33.4%
OT
57.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:38 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 3 | 14:58 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:17 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:27 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |