Chandler Stephenson vs Pavel Buchnevich
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +28.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Buchnevich 36.3% (+28.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 70.3%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 51.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 65.9%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
2
Stephenson
Buchnevich
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
28.6% (192)
+29.1%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
55.6% (9)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
30.8% (13)
+16.7%
On even strength, Stephenson has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Stephenson shoots left. Buchnevich is 28.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Home
56.2% (589)
30.4% (112)
Away
60.0% (573)
29.4% (102)
By Period
Stephenson
Buchnevich
P1
58.3%
27.7%
P2
58.3%
33.3%
P3
57.9%
27.7%
Final 5 min
57.7%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
29.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |