Chandler Stephenson vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.1% vs Buchnevich 45.3% (+12.2%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 67.1%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 73.6%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 56.8%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Stephenson
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (634)
41.0% (78)
+11.8%
Power Play
62.0% (187)
44.4% (9)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (153)
20.0% (5)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Stephenson shoots left. Buchnevich is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Home
52.7% (533)
40.0% (60)
Away
51.9% (441)
40.6% (32)
By Period
Stephenson
Buchnevich
P1
56.5%
38.1%
P2
51.8%
30.8%
P3
49.7%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.4%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
40.2%