Chandler Stephenson vs Pavel Buchnevich
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Buchnevich 41.2% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 72.6%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 93.8%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 92.5%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Last 5: Stephenson 5-0 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Buchnevich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Buchnevich
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
Buchnevich
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
37.0% (211)
+14.2%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
50.0% (10)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
28.6% (7)
+19.1%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Stephenson shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Home
52.2% (751)
35.6% (87)
Away
51.0% (723)
38.3% (141)
By Period
Stephenson
Buchnevich
P1
50.4%
36.3%
P2
51.5%
37.6%
P3
53.3%
38.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
36.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
46.0%▼
54.0%
51.6%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
37.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2024 | 3 | 14:58 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:17 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:27 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |