Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 74.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 71.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.3%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
45.4% (527)
+12.3%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
41.2% (17)
+23.0%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
44.9% (138)
+2.6%
On power play, Stephenson has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Stephenson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.2% (589)
46.1% (336)
Away
60.0% (573)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
58.3%
49.1%
P2
58.3%
45.3%
P3
57.9%
42.0%
OT
54.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |