Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 78.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 56.0%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 69.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
51.0% (408)
+0.6%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
0.0% (6)
+62.7%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
35.9% (78)
+8.4%
On power play, Stephenson has a +62.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Stephenson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.5% (499)
50.8% (258)
Away
52.6% (551)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.2%
51.6%
P2
55.7%
45.2%
P3
50.9%
47.6%
OT
63.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |