Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 50.2%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 50.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
50.3% (479)
+0.9%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
50.0% (28)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
30.0% (50)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Stephenson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.2% (751)
48.9% (270)
Away
51.0% (723)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.4%
48.7%
P2
51.5%
50.0%
P3
53.3%
47.3%
OT
40.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
51.3%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |