Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.9%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 59.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Stephenson 2-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
47.6% (231)
+4.5%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
83.3% (12)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
33.3% (21)
+6.6%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Stephenson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.1% (672)
51.2% (164)
Away
51.1% (554)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.6%
50.0%
P2
51.3%
46.2%
P3
51.2%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |