Chandler Stephenson vs Sam Carrick
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 53.4%). Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Carrick 53.0% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 78.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 74.5%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 51.3%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Stephenson
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Stephenson
Carrick
Last 10: Stephenson 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
5
1
Stephenson
Carrick
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
4
Stephenson
Carrick
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Stephenson
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
53.9% (521)
-2.3%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
57.1% (35)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
51.5% (229)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Stephenson is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Stephenson shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Carrick
Home
52.5% (499)
52.7% (408)
Away
52.6% (551)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Stephenson
Carrick
P1
50.2%
51.4%
P2
55.7%
56.6%
P3
50.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 06:59 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 01:43 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 01:38 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:47 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |