Chandler Stephenson vs Sam Carrick
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Carrick 53.8% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 69.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 51.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 51.5%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Stephenson
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stephenson
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Stephenson
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
55.1% (439)
-3.0%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
66.7% (3)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
49.1% (53)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Stephenson is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (475).
Stephenson shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Carrick
Home
53.1% (672)
58.2% (225)
Away
51.1% (554)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Stephenson
Carrick
P1
54.6%
56.7%
P2
51.3%
52.8%
P3
51.2%
54.4%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |