Chandler Stephenson vs Sam Carrick
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.2%). Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Carrick 52.1% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 81.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 70.5%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 50.6%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Stephenson
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
12
(27 meetings)
15
12
Stephenson
Carrick
Last 10: Stephenson 6-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
10
1
Stephenson
Carrick
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
3
7
Stephenson
Carrick
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
4
Stephenson
Carrick
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
52.1% (2,513)
-0.2%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
61.3% (75)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
50.7% (430)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Stephenson is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,650).
Stephenson shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Carrick
Home
52.6% (3,827)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Stephenson
Carrick
P1
51.6%
51.8%
P2
52.4%
52.2%
P3
52.8%
52.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 06:59 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 01:43 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 01:38 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |