Chandler Stephenson vs Sam Carrick
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Carrick 53.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 61.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 73.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 61.7%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Stephenson
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stephenson
Carrick
Last 7: Stephenson 5-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
53.8% (654)
-2.6%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
0.0% (2)
+57.8%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
63.9% (36)
-16.2%
On power play, Stephenson has a +57.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Stephenson is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Stephenson shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Carrick
Home
52.2% (751)
50.0% (328)
Away
51.0% (723)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Stephenson
Carrick
P1
50.4%
56.7%
P2
51.5%
51.1%
P3
53.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
51.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |