Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 46.1% vs Steel 50.2% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 65.3%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 65.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 65.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Stephenson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Stephenson
Steel
Last 10: Stephenson 2-8 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
3
Stephenson
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stephenson
Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
4
Stephenson
Steel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (446)
49.7% (638)
-4.4%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
60.3% (63)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
42.4% (33)
+2.4%
On power play, Steel has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Stephenson is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (337).
Stephenson shoots left. Steel is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Steel
Home
44.7% (262)
47.3% (349)
Away
46.0% (252)
53.0% (385)
By Period
Stephenson
Steel
P1
46.1%
51.2%
P2
43.0%
49.8%
P3
46.2%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.1%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
45.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 11:14 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 11:06 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 04:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 3 | 02:14 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 1 | 15:00 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |