Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Steel 50.6% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 54.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 55.2%
Neutral zone
Steel 54.0%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Stephenson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Stephenson
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Stephenson
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
52.5% (200)
-0.4%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
71.4% (7)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
40.0% (45)
-0.1%
On power play, Steel has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Stephenson shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Steel
Home
53.1% (672)
49.5% (109)
Away
51.1% (554)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Stephenson
Steel
P1
54.6%
49.5%
P2
51.3%
47.5%
P3
51.2%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |