Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Steel 48.8% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 88.7%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 85.0%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 78.0%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Stephenson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stephenson
Steel
Last 5: Stephenson 4-1 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
49.5% (553)
+8.2%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
61.3% (31)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
30.6% (49)
+16.9%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Stephenson shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Steel
Home
56.2% (589)
46.4% (347)
Away
60.0% (573)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Stephenson
Steel
P1
58.3%
52.1%
P2
58.3%
49.8%
P3
57.9%
45.2%
OT
54.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |