Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Steel 52.8% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 54.8%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 50.5%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 51.6%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Stephenson
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
56.9% (320)
-5.7%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
71.4% (7)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
37.0% (73)
+10.7%
On power play, Steel has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Stephenson shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Steel
Home
52.2% (751)
55.9% (202)
Away
51.0% (723)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Stephenson
Steel
P1
50.4%
55.5%
P2
51.5%
55.1%
P3
53.3%
50.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%