Chandler Stephenson vs Sam Steel
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (54% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Steel 50.2% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 22-22 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 50.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 51.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 53.6%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Stephenson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
22
(44 meetings)
22
22
Stephenson
Steel
Last 10: Stephenson 6-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
6
7
Stephenson
Steel
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
9
8
Stephenson
Steel
17 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Stephenson
Steel
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
50.6% (2,876)
+1.3%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
62.6% (179)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
37.4% (254)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,023).
Stephenson shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Steel
Home
52.6% (3,827)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Stephenson
Steel
P1
51.6%
51.9%
P2
52.4%
49.5%
P3
52.8%
49.6%
OT
57.7%
41.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 11:04 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Sam Steel |