Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 50.4% vs Steel 52.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 50.2%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 51.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 63.3%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Stephenson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Stephenson
Steel
Last 10: Stephenson 6-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
4
1
Stephenson
Steel
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Stephenson
Steel
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
2
Stephenson
Steel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (585)
51.6% (401)
-1.0%
Power Play
48.9% (94)
66.7% (39)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (65)
44.4% (9)
+6.4%
On power play, Steel has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Stephenson is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (570).
Stephenson shoots left. Steel is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Steel
Home
50.3% (326)
55.8% (206)
Away
50.5% (418)
50.2% (243)
By Period
Stephenson
Steel
P1
46.0%
57.0%
P2
50.2%
50.7%
P3
54.4%
51.0%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 11:04 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |