Chandler Stephenson vs Steven Stamkos
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Stamkos 53.4% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 70.6%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 69.6%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 70.6%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Stephenson
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Stephenson
Stamkos
Last 7: Stephenson 6-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
55.3% (628)
+2.4%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
55.1% (216)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
40.2% (87)
+7.3%
On power play, Stephenson has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Stephenson is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (486).
Stephenson shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Stamkos
Home
56.2% (589)
55.5% (499)
Away
60.0% (573)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Stephenson
Stamkos
P1
58.3%
50.7%
P2
58.3%
53.8%
P3
57.9%
55.9%
OT
54.5%
87.5%
Final 5 min
57.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:20 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:29 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |