Chandler Stephenson vs Steven Stamkos
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 77.2%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 74.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.3%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Stephenson
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Stephenson
Stamkos
Last 7: Stephenson 3-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Stephenson
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Stephenson
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
49.3% (670)
+1.9%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
53.7% (121)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
33.3% (3)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Stephenson is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Stephenson shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Stamkos
Home
52.2% (751)
54.0% (400)
Away
51.0% (723)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Stephenson
Stamkos
P1
50.4%
48.6%
P2
51.5%
54.5%
P3
53.3%
45.4%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |