Chandler Stephenson vs Steven Stamkos
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 50.8%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 57.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 57.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Stephenson
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stephenson
Stamkos
Last 5: Stephenson 3-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Stephenson
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
55.9% (499)
-4.3%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
56.3% (126)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
58.3% (12)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Stephenson is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Stephenson shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Stamkos
Home
52.5% (499)
55.3% (349)
Away
52.6% (551)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Stephenson
Stamkos
P1
50.2%
57.0%
P2
55.7%
59.2%
P3
50.9%
51.5%
OT
63.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:55 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |