Chandler Stephenson vs Steven Stamkos

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Steven Stamkos holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stephenson 52.0% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Stamkos 67.7%
Defensive zone Stephenson 76.3%
Neutral zone Stamkos 54.4%
Result Chandler Stephenson favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Stephenson Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 4 (9 meetings)
5
4
Stephenson Stamkos
Last 9: Stephenson 5-4 Stamkos

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Stephenson Stamkos
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson Stamkos
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stephenson
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
56.1% (342)
-4.0%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
53.3% (92)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
62.5% (8)
-22.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +22.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Stephenson is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (475).
Stephenson shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Stamkos
Home
53.1% (672)
53.4% (208)
Away
51.1% (554)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Stephenson
Stamkos
P1
54.6%
55.6%
P2
51.3%
52.8%
P3
51.2%
59.1%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%
52.5%
52.2%
Stamkos
54.0%
55.0%
55.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 19, 2026 3 19:29 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Mar 10, 2026 1 13:42 Offensive Chandler Stephenson
Mar 10, 2026 1 11:07 Defensive Chandler Stephenson
Mar 10, 2026 1 00:00 Neutral Chandler Stephenson
Jan 1, 2026 3 02:52 Defensive Chandler Stephenson
Jan 1, 2026 3 00:00 Neutral Steven Stamkos
Jan 1, 2026 2 10:20 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Jan 1, 2026 1 11:46 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Jan 1, 2026 1 08:09 Defensive Chandler Stephenson