Chandler Stephenson vs Trevor Zegras
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +21.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Zegras 35.4% (+21.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 57.5%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 93.4%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 81.9%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 93.4%
93.4%
6.6%
Stephenson
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stephenson
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
29.6% (230)
+22.5%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
32.1% (56)
+29.9%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
100.0% (1)
-60.1%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +60.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Stephenson shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Zegras
Home
53.1% (672)
30.6% (147)
Away
51.1% (554)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Stephenson
Zegras
P1
54.6%
33.0%
P2
51.3%
31.7%
P3
51.2%
25.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |