Chandler Stephenson vs Trevor Zegras
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Zegras 39.2% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 70.9%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 96.5%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 90.8%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Stephenson
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
10
(25 meetings)
15
10
Stephenson
Zegras
Last 10: Stephenson 5-5 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
4
8
Stephenson
Zegras
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
5
1
Stephenson
Zegras
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
6
1
Stephenson
Zegras
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
38.6% (1,669)
+13.3%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
38.5% (148)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
28.6% (7)
+17.1%
On power play, Stephenson has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,023).
Stephenson shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Zegras
Home
52.6% (3,827)
39.9% (882)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Stephenson
Zegras
P1
51.6%
40.2%
P2
52.4%
38.0%
P3
52.8%
37.7%
OT
57.7%
31.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 04:48 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:45 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 17:36 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |