Chandler Stephenson vs Trevor Zegras
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stephenson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Zegras 42.6% (+16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 93.7%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 94.7%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 95.0%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 94.4%
94.4%
5.6%
Stephenson
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Stephenson
Zegras
Last 9: Stephenson 7-2 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stephenson
Zegras
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
4
0
Stephenson
Zegras
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
41.1% (559)
+16.6%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
50.0% (12)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
50.0% (2)
-2.5%
On even strength, Stephenson has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Stephenson shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Zegras
Home
56.2% (589)
45.7% (247)
Away
60.0% (573)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Stephenson
Zegras
P1
58.3%
45.5%
P2
58.3%
36.8%
P3
57.9%
41.1%
OT
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 17:36 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |