Chandler Stephenson vs Trevor Zegras

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Chandler Stephenson holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stephenson 52.3% vs Zegras 43.3% (+14.2%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Stephenson 51.5%
Defensive zone Stephenson 66.9%
Neutral zone Stephenson 52.7%
Result Chandler Stephenson favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Stephenson Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 4 (8 meetings)
4
4
Stephenson Zegras
Last 8: Stephenson 4-4 Zegras

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
3
Stephenson Zegras
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson Zegras
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stephenson
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
39.8% (128)
+11.8%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
22.2% (9)
+40.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
0.0% (1)
+44.3%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +44.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Stephenson shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Zegras
Home
52.5% (499)
29.7% (74)
Away
52.6% (551)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Stephenson
Zegras
P1
50.2%
40.7%
P2
55.7%
35.1%
P3
50.9%
41.0%
OT
63.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
44.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%
52.5%
52.6%
Zegras
16.0%
26.5%
38.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 27, 2023 3 14:05 Offensive Chandler Stephenson
Dec 27, 2023 2 12:34 Neutral Chandler Stephenson
Dec 27, 2023 1 04:48 Offensive Trevor Zegras
Nov 5, 2023 2 02:18 Defensive Chandler Stephenson
Oct 14, 2023 3 12:03 Defensive Chandler Stephenson
Oct 14, 2023 2 19:53 Offensive Trevor Zegras
Oct 14, 2023 2 08:53 Offensive Trevor Zegras
Oct 14, 2023 1 16:45 Neutral Trevor Zegras