Chandler Stephenson vs Trevor Zegras
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Zegras 41.3% (+15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 70.1%
Defensive zone
Zegras 64.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 74.1%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Stephenson
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Stephenson
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Stephenson
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Stephenson
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
36.5% (156)
+14.7%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
40.7% (27)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
0.0% (3)
+47.7%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +47.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Stephenson shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Zegras
Home
52.2% (751)
38.9% (113)
Away
51.0% (723)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Stephenson
Zegras
P1
50.4%
40.0%
P2
51.5%
38.1%
P3
53.3%
31.6%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |