Chandler Stephenson vs Tyler Seguin
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Seguin 52.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 50.7%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 56.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 51.2%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Stephenson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Stephenson
Seguin
Last 7: Stephenson 4-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Stephenson
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Stephenson
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (987)
53.2% (201)
-1.2%
Power Play
62.4% (266)
60.0% (25)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (204)
44.4% (9)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stephenson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (570).
Stephenson shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Seguin
Home
52.8% (765)
56.3% (126)
Away
51.4% (692)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Stephenson
Seguin
P1
55.4%
44.3%
P2
50.4%
52.1%
P3
51.3%
62.5%
OT
48.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
50.5%
52.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 15:33 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |