Chandler Stephenson vs Tyler Seguin
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stephenson wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Seguin 54.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 59.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 67.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 61.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Stephenson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Stephenson
Seguin
Last 10: Stephenson 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
2
Stephenson
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Stephenson
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Stephenson
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
55.0% (713)
+2.7%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
56.7% (104)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
47.2% (53)
+0.3%
On power play, Stephenson has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stephenson is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (486).
Stephenson shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Seguin
Home
56.2% (589)
56.2% (443)
Away
60.0% (573)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Stephenson
Seguin
P1
58.3%
54.2%
P2
58.3%
52.9%
P3
57.9%
57.1%
OT
54.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | OT | 02:03 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 04:27 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 04:08 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 08:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |