Chandler Stephenson vs Tyler Seguin

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Tyler Seguin holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stephenson 52.0% vs Seguin 52.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Stephenson 53.5%
Defensive zone Stephenson 58.1%
Neutral zone Stephenson 54.0%
Result Chandler Stephenson favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Stephenson Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 3 (7 meetings)
4
3
Stephenson Seguin
Last 7: Stephenson 4-3 Seguin

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Stephenson Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Stephenson Seguin
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stephenson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
53.2% (201)
-1.1%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
60.0% (25)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
44.4% (9)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +4.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stephenson is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (475).
Stephenson shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Seguin
Home
53.1% (672)
56.3% (126)
Away
51.1% (554)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Stephenson
Seguin
P1
54.6%
44.3%
P2
51.3%
52.1%
P3
51.2%
62.5%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%
52.5%
52.2%
Seguin
42.0%
54.0%
53.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 26, 2025 3 18:38 Defensive Tyler Seguin
Nov 26, 2025 3 15:33 Offensive Chandler Stephenson
Nov 26, 2025 2 17:37 Offensive Chandler Stephenson
Nov 26, 2025 1 02:51 Offensive Chandler Stephenson
Nov 26, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Tyler Seguin
Nov 9, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Tyler Seguin
Nov 9, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Chandler Stephenson