Chandler Stephenson vs Tyler Seguin
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Seguin 51.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 58.7%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 60.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 57.8%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Stephenson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stephenson
Seguin
Last 5: Stephenson 1-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Stephenson
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Stephenson
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
54.8% (135)
-3.6%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
58.3% (24)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
26.7% (15)
+21.0%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stephenson is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Stephenson shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Seguin
Home
52.2% (751)
47.4% (95)
Away
51.0% (723)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Stephenson
Seguin
P1
50.4%
50.8%
P2
51.5%
57.1%
P3
53.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 14:15 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |