Chandler Stephenson vs Tyler Seguin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Seguin 53.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 23-14 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 55.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 52.4%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 52.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Stephenson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
23
(37 meetings)
14
23
Stephenson
Seguin
Last 10: Stephenson 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
8
6
Stephenson
Seguin
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
5
12
Stephenson
Seguin
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
5
Stephenson
Seguin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
53.7% (8,071)
-1.8%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
55.9% (810)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
49.3% (762)
-3.6%
On power play, Stephenson has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stephenson is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,650).
Stephenson shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Seguin
Home
52.6% (3,827)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Stephenson
Seguin
P1
51.6%
52.8%
P2
52.4%
53.3%
P3
52.8%
54.7%
OT
57.7%
54.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 15:33 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 14:15 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 05:57 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |