Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Coyle 50.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 52.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 53.7%
Neutral zone
Coyle 50.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Henrique
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Henrique
Coyle
Last 5: Henrique 2-3 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
2
Henrique
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
52.4% (798)
+3.7%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
44.1% (59)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
45.7% (175)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Henrique is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Henrique shoots left. Coyle is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Henrique
Coyle
Home
53.5% (215)
49.0% (537)
Away
55.2% (306)
52.7% (495)
By Period
Henrique
Coyle
P1
57.7%
49.5%
P2
53.8%
49.7%
P3
51.6%
53.0%
OT
100.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Coyle
62.0%▲
52.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |