Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Bedard 39.8% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 58.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 85.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 82.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Coyle
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Coyle
Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Bedard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
38.0% (618)
+11.5%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
38.7% (31)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
57.1% (7)
-13.7%
On power play, Coyle has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Bedard is 39.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Coyle
Bedard
Home
47.4% (409)
40.5% (316)
Away
50.0% (360)
36.2% (340)
By Period
Coyle
Bedard
P1
50.8%
37.2%
P2
46.0%
36.9%
P3
48.4%
40.7%
OT
64.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |