Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Bedard 46.7% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Bedard 69.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 65.6%
Neutral zone
Bedard 50.4%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Coyle
Bedard
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
44.2% (450)
+8.1%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
70.0% (30)
-25.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
53.8% (13)
-9.0%
On power play, Bedard has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Coyle is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Coyle shoots right. Bedard is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Coyle
Bedard
Home
49.0% (537)
50.7% (223)
Away
52.1% (516)
42.2% (270)
By Period
Coyle
Bedard
P1
48.7%
40.8%
P2
49.6%
48.2%
P3
53.1%
48.0%
OT
45.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.1%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%