Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Bedard 41.3% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 58.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 69.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 69.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Coyle
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Coyle
Bedard
Last 9: Coyle 5-4 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
2
Coyle
Bedard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Bedard
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Bedard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
40.1% (1,580)
+9.3%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
51.9% (77)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
50.0% (24)
-6.4%
On even strength, Coyle has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Coyle shoots right. Bedard is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Coyle
Bedard
Home
49.8% (4,835)
43.3% (785)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
38.5% (896)
By Period
Coyle
Bedard
P1
49.4%
39.0%
P2
48.3%
40.7%
P3
48.8%
42.6%
OT
49.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.4%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |