Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.2% vs Malkin 42.9% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 50.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 78.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 68.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Coyle
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Coyle
Malkin
Last 8: Coyle 5-3 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Malkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Malkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (426)
42.5% (722)
+3.5%
Power Play
39.1% (46)
35.3% (17)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
25.0% (16)
+21.7%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Coyle is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (317).
Coyle shoots right. Malkin is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Coyle
Malkin
Home
45.8% (251)
43.3% (406)
Away
45.0% (251)
40.4% (349)
By Period
Coyle
Malkin
P1
49.7%
39.3%
P2
46.9%
43.1%
P3
39.8%
43.8%
OT
40.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.4%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 13:43 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 16:40 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |