Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Malkin 45.9% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 33-28 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 61.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 76.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 61.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Coyle
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
28
(61 meetings)
33
28
Coyle
Malkin
Last 10: Coyle 8-2 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
5
13
Coyle
Malkin
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
14
5
Coyle
Malkin
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
14
10
Coyle
Malkin
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
45.6% (10,081)
+3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
50.1% (668)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
32.2% (59)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Home / Away
Coyle
Malkin
Home
49.8% (4,835)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Coyle
Malkin
P1
49.4%
45.9%
P2
48.3%
46.2%
P3
48.8%
45.2%
OT
49.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:59 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 04:09 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:39 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |