Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Malkin 48.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 72.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 86.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 66.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Coyle
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Coyle
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Coyle
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
47.9% (776)
+5.1%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
66.7% (24)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
100.0% (1)
-56.4%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Coyle
Malkin
Home
54.5% (719)
49.6% (405)
Away
48.8% (758)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Coyle
Malkin
P1
51.1%
49.6%
P2
50.0%
47.2%
P3
53.3%
48.5%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |