Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Malkin 49.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 87.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 79.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 52.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Coyle
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Coyle
Malkin
Last 9: Coyle 4-5 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
3
Coyle
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
2
Coyle
Malkin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
49.0% (811)
+3.7%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
55.8% (43)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
50.0% (2)
-1.9%
On power play, Coyle has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Coyle
Malkin
Home
53.3% (512)
52.3% (438)
Away
51.9% (507)
46.2% (418)
By Period
Coyle
Malkin
P1
53.8%
51.3%
P2
47.8%
50.8%
P3
56.7%
45.0%
OT
38.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 04:09 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:39 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |